Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.958106e-05 0.000106 0.000124 0.000145 0.000167 0.000191 0.000219
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.593463e-05 0.000087 0.000112 0.000142 0.000176 0.000214 0.000259
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.340889e-05 0.000077 0.000105 0.000139 0.000181 0.000229 0.000287
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.241941e-05 0.000067 0.000097 0.000137 0.000186 0.000243 0.000314
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.598655e-05 0.000061 0.000093 0.000137 0.000192 0.000258 0.000341
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.053994e-05 0.000056 0.000090 0.000138 0.000200 0.000275 0.000370
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.579380e-05 0.000051 0.000086 0.000137 0.000204 0.000287 0.000394
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.044403e-05 0.000044 0.000080 0.000132 0.000203 0.000292 0.000409
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.824991e-05 0.000042 0.000080 0.000135 0.000212 0.000310 0.000439
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.413795e-05 0.000037 0.000073 0.000130 0.000209 0.000312 0.000451
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.223731e-05 0.000034 0.000072 0.000131 0.000216 0.000326 0.000476
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.955951e-06 0.000031 0.000068 0.000129 0.000217 0.000334 0.000494
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.666055e-06 0.000030 0.000068 0.000133 0.000228 0.000355 0.000530
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.829757e-06 0.000027 0.000065 0.000132 0.000232 0.000367 0.000555
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.023516e-06 0.000023 0.000061 0.000128 0.000231 0.000373 0.000572
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.798459e-06 0.000021 0.000058 0.000127 0.000234 0.000383 0.000595
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.884070e-06 0.000019 0.000056 0.000126 0.000238 0.000395 0.000619
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.316371e-06 0.000018 0.000055 0.000128 0.000245 0.000411 0.000650
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.662520e-06 0.000016 0.000053 0.000126 0.000247 0.000421 0.000671
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.034611e-06 0.000013 0.000049 0.000122 0.000245 0.000424 0.000685
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 8.170088e-07 0.000013 0.000049 0.000125 0.000254 0.000442 0.000718
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.230921e-07 0.000011 0.000045 0.000120 0.000250 0.000442 0.000727
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.812775e-07 0.000010 0.000044 0.000121 0.000255 0.000456 0.000755